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Copa del Rey predictions

2026 season · updated Wednesday 11 November

Upcoming fixtures

Copa del ReyCDR Thu 12 Nov
Calvo Sotelo crest Calvo Sotelo 18:30 Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano Albacete crest Albacete

Albacete come into the Copa del Rey round of 128 in better form: they play in the second division and have won three of their last five matches.

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Copa del ReyCDR Thu 12 Nov
Tarancón crest Tarancón 19:00 Polideportivo Estadio Municipal Tarancón Levante crest Levante

Levante are favourites against Tarancón because of the gap in division: Levante play in the top flight, while Tarancón compete in a lower one. Yet Levante have not won any of their last 5 away matches and have conceded 18 goals in their last 10. Manu Sánchez's injury also leaves a doubt at left-back.

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Latest results

Copa del ReyCDR FT
Tavernes crest Tavernes 0–6 FT Valencia crest Valencia
Estimated probability1 · X · 2
17%
X17%
276%
1X2 · 2 ✓ Over/under 2.5 · Over 2.5 ✓ Both teams to score · No ✓

Valencia are favourites by status: they play in the top flight and Tavernes compete in a lower division. But Valencia have gone seven matches without a win at Mestalla, have lost 6 of their last 10 and are without José Luis Gayà and Otorbi. Tavernes have drawn their last two matches and arrive after 37 days without a game. A 76% chance of an away win and 17% for a draw.

Copa del ReyCDR FT
Trival Valderas crest Trival Valderas 0–1 FT Leganes crest Leganes
Estimated probability1 · X · 2
160%
X22%
219%
1X2 · 1 ✗ Over/under 2.5 · Over 2.5 ✗ Both teams to score · Yes ✗

Trival Valderas host Leganes in the first round of the Copa del Rey with the visitors in poor form: Leganes have won 1 of their last 10 matches and conceded 13 goals in their 5 away games. Trival Valderas start with a 60% chance of a home win against 19% for the visitors, while the draw sits at 22%. With rain forecast, a 54% chance of both teams scoring and 54% for over 2.5 goals call for caution.

Copa del ReyCDR Open today FT
Amorebieta crest Amorebieta 1–0 FT UD Logroñés crest UD Logroñés
Estimated probability1 · X · 2
145%
X24%
231%
1X2 · 1 ✓ Over/under 2.5 · Over 2.5 ✗ Both teams to score · Yes ✗

Amorebieta host UD Logroñés at Urritxe with the last meeting in their favour: a 4-1 win on 18 January 2026. Before that, UD Logroñés had won 2-1 in October 2025 and 1-0 in 2023, and there were two 1-1 draws, so the record between the sides is evenly split. The chances are 45% for a home win, 24% for a draw and 31% for an away win, with 57% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Copa del ReyCDR Open today FT
Pamplona crest Pamplona 0–3 FT Eibar crest Eibar
Estimated probability1 · X · 2
137%
X26%
238%
1X2 · 2 ✓ Over/under 2.5 · Over 2.5 ✓ Both teams to score · Yes ✗

Pamplona and Eibar meet in the Copa del Rey round of 128, a single-leg tie at the Campo de Fútbol Beitikuntzea, and the match looks very even: 37% for the hosts, 26% for a draw and 38% for the visitors. Eibar have won 6 of their last 10 matches and 4 of the 6 they played away, though only 1 of the last 5. Both teams to score stands at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

Questions about Copa del Rey

What is the next Copa del Rey match?

Calvo Sotelo v Albacete, on Thursday 12 November (Copa del Rey). The prediction and analysis are on its page.

How does PronosLab calculate its probabilities?

We combine our own statistical model (Poisson and Elo) with form, absences, weather and news for every Copa del Rey match; a verifier checks every figure before publishing and all hits and misses are public.