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Simulation · our own model

Season probabilities

We play out the rest of the season thousands of times with our statistical model and count how often each team wins the title, makes the Champions League or goes down.

LaLiga
  1. Barcelona crest Barcelona80%
  2. Real Madrid crest Real Madrid17%
  3. Atlético Madrid crest Atlético Madrid2%
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Premier League
  1. Arsenal crest Arsenal65%
  2. Man City crest Man City27%
  3. Brighton Hove crest Brighton Hove7%
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Serie A
  1. Inter Milan crest Inter Milan36%
  2. Como 1907 crest Como 190730%
  3. Roma crest Roma22%
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Bundesliga
  1. Bayern crest Bayern89%
  2. Dortmund crest Dortmund10%
  3. RB Leipzig crest RB Leipzig<1%
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Ligue 1
  1. Paris Saint-Germain crest Paris Saint-Germain95%
  2. Lyon crest Lyon2%
  3. Marseille crest Marseille1%
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Eredivisie
  1. PSV crest PSV48%
  2. Twente crest Twente18%
  3. Ajax crest Ajax17%
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Primeira Liga
  1. Porto crest Porto55%
  2. Benfica crest Benfica35%
  3. Sporting CP crest Sporting CP10%
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Championship
  1. Middlesbrough crest Middlesbrough36%
  2. Southampton crest Southampton35%
  3. Birmingham crest Birmingham14%
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