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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will win 2. Bundesliga?

Across 10.000 simulations of the rest of the 2. Bundesliga season (207 matches), Hertha BSC are favourites for the title at 91%, ahead of 1. FC Nürnberg (6%).

  1. 1 Hertha BSC crest Hertha BSC 91% 31 pts now
  2. 2 1. FC Nürnberg crest 1. FC Nürnberg 6% 24 pts now
  3. 3 1. FC Magdeburg crest 1. FC Magdeburg 2% 20 pts now
  4. 4 1. FC Kaiserslautern crest 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1% 21 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 207 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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