Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov
Who will be promoted from 2. Bundesliga?
The teams most likely to finish in the top 2 of 2. Bundesliga are Hertha BSC (98%), 1. FC Nürnberg (48%), 1. FC Magdeburg (26%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- 1
Hertha BSC
98%
31 pts now
- 2
1. FC Nürnberg
48%
24 pts now
- 3
1. FC Magdeburg
26%
20 pts now
- 4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
17%
21 pts now
- 5
VfL Wolfsburg
5%
19 pts now
- 6
Arminia Bielefeld
4%
17 pts now
- 7
Dynamo Dresden
1%
11 pts now
How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 207 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.
