Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov
Who will be relegated from 2. Bundesliga?
The teams most at risk of finishing in the bottom 2 of 2. Bundesliga are FC St. Pauli (35%), SV Darmstadt 98 (33%), Karlsruher SC (31%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- 1
FC St. Pauli
35%
12 pts now
- 2
SV Darmstadt 98
33%
9 pts now
- 3
Karlsruher SC
31%
11 pts now
- 4
Holstein Kiel
25%
8 pts now
- 5
VfL Osnabrück
18%
11 pts now
- 6
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
14%
12 pts now
- 7
Energie Cottbus
13%
11 pts now
- 8
Eintracht Braunschweig
11%
11 pts now
- 9
1. FC Heidenheim
8%
16 pts now
- 10
Hannover 96
6%
12 pts now
How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 207 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.
