Hertha BSC, with a 91 % chance of finishing as champions according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the 2. Bundesliga season with our model.
2026-27 season · updated Monday 9 November
How to read it: we simulate the remaining 207 matches 10.000 times with our model. 40% means the team finishes in that zone in 4 out of 10 simulated seasons; it is not a fixed prediction and it changes every week with the results.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD12
SV Darmstadt 98
18:30
Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor
1. FC Heidenheim
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD12
Arminia Bielefeld
18:30
SchücoArena
1. FC Magdeburg
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD12
VfL Wolfsburg
13:00
Volkswagen Arena
Holstein Kiel
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD12
Hannover 96
13:00
Heinz von Heiden-Arena
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD12
1. FC Nürnberg
13:00
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Eintracht Braunschweig
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD12
FC St. Pauli
20:30
Millerntor-Stadion
VfL Bochum
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD12
1. FC Kaiserslautern
13:30
Fritz-Walter-Stadion
Dynamo Dresden
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD12
Karlsruher SC
13:30
BBBank Wildpark
VfL Osnabrück
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD12
Energie Cottbus
13:30
LEAG Energie Stadion
Hertha BSC
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD13
VfL Bochum
18:30
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
SV Darmstadt 98
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD13
1. FC Heidenheim
18:30
Voith-Arena
1. FC Nürnberg
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD13
Hertha BSC
13:00
Olympiastadion Berlin
Karlsruher SC
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD11
1. FC Heidenheim
2–2
FT
Hannover 96
No analysis was published for this match.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD11
1. FC Magdeburg
4–1
FT
FC St. Pauli
No analysis was published for this match.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD11
VfL Bochum
3–2
FT
Karlsruher SC
No analysis was published for this match.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD11
Hertha BSC
2–1
FT
VfL Wolfsburg
No analysis was published for this match.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD11
VfL Osnabrück
0–1
FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
No analysis was published for this match.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD11
Holstein Kiel
1–2
FT
Arminia Bielefeld
No analysis was published for this match.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD11
1. FC Nürnberg
2–0
FT
SV Darmstadt 98
No analysis was published for this match.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD11
Eintracht Braunschweig
0–0
FT
Energie Cottbus
No analysis was published for this match.
2. BundesligaBL2
· MD11
Dynamo Dresden
3–0
FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
No analysis was published for this match.
Hertha BSC, with a 91 % chance of finishing as champions according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the 2. Bundesliga season with our model.
Hertha BSC lead 2. Bundesliga with 31 points from 11 matches.
SV Darmstadt 98 v 1. FC Heidenheim, on Friday 20 November (Matchday 12). The prediction and analysis are on its page.
According to our simulations, the teams most likely to win automatic promotion (top 2) are Hertha BSC (98 %), 1. FC Nürnberg (48 %), 1. FC Magdeburg (26 %). It is a probability, not a certainty: it is recalculated after every matchday.
According to our simulations, the teams most at risk of finishing in the 2 relegation places are FC St. Pauli (35 %), SV Darmstadt 98 (33 %), Karlsruher SC (31 %). The figure is updated every week with the results.
We combine our own statistical model (Poisson and Elo) with form, absences, weather and news for every 2. Bundesliga match; a verifier checks every figure before publishing and all hits and misses are public.
