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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will win Serie B?

Across 10.000 simulations of the rest of the Serie B season (270 matches), Palermo are favourites for the title at 75%, ahead of Modena (16%).

  1. 1 Palermo crest Palermo 75% 27 pts now
  2. 2 Modena crest Modena 16% 23 pts now
  3. 3 Ascoli crest Ascoli 7% 20 pts now
  4. 4 Mantova crest Mantova 1% 19 pts now
  5. 5 Avellino crest Avellino 1% 16 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 270 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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