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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will be promoted from Serie B?

The teams most likely to finish in the top 2 of Serie B are Palermo (93%), Modena (56%), Ascoli (32%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.

  1. 1 Palermo crest Palermo 93% 27 pts now
  2. 2 Modena crest Modena 56% 23 pts now
  3. 3 Ascoli crest Ascoli 32% 20 pts now
  4. 4 Mantova crest Mantova 7% 19 pts now
  5. 5 Avellino crest Avellino 4% 16 pts now
  6. 6 Benevento crest Benevento 4% 16 pts now
  7. 7 Sudtirol crest Sudtirol 1% 15 pts now
  8. 8 Cremonese crest Cremonese 1% 15 pts now
  9. 9 Padova crest Padova 1% 15 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 270 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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