Palermo, with a 75 % chance of finishing as champions according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the Serie B season with our model.
2026-27 season · updated Tuesday 10 November
How to read it: we simulate the remaining 270 matches 10.000 times with our model. 40% means the team finishes in that zone in 4 out of 10 simulated seasons; it is not a fixed prediction and it changes every week with the results.
Serie BSB
· MD12
Sampdoria
15:00
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Benevento
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Serie BSB
· MD12
Hellas Verona
15:00
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Cesena
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Serie BSB
· MD12
Ascoli
15:00
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Vicenza Virtus
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Serie BSB
· MD12
Empoli
15:00
Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena
Pisa
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Serie BSB
· MD12
Avellino
15:00
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Mantova
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Serie BSB
· MD12
Arezzo
15:00
Stadio Città di Arezzo
Padova
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Serie BSB
· MD12
Sudtirol
15:00
Stadio Marco Druso
Cremonese
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Serie BSB
· MD12
Carrarese
15:00
Stadio dei Marmi
Virtus Entella
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Serie BSB
· MD12
Catanzaro
15:00
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Palermo
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Serie BSB
· MD12
Modena
15:00
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Juve Stabia
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Serie BSB
· MD13
Benevento
15:00
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Empoli
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Serie BSB
· MD13
Cesena
15:00
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Ascoli
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Serie BSB
· MD11
Vicenza Virtus
1–4
FT
Cremonese
No analysis was published for this match.
Serie BSB
· MD11
Carrarese
0–1
FT
Sampdoria
No analysis was published for this match.
Serie BSB
· MD11
Virtus Entella
0–2
FT
Modena
No analysis was published for this match.
Serie BSB
· MD11
Benevento
1–1
FT
Avellino
No analysis was published for this match.
Serie BSB
· MD11
Mantova
0–0
FT
Hellas Verona
No analysis was published for this match.
Serie BSB
· MD11
Juve Stabia
1–0
FT
Arezzo
No analysis was published for this match.
Serie BSB
· MD11
Padova
2–2
FT
Empoli
No analysis was published for this match.
Serie BSB
· MD11
Pisa
2–2
FT
Sudtirol
No analysis was published for this match.
Serie BSB
· MD11
Cesena
1–0
FT
Catanzaro
No analysis was published for this match.
Palermo, with a 75 % chance of finishing as champions according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the Serie B season with our model.
Palermo lead Serie B with 27 points from 11 matches.
Sampdoria v Benevento, on Saturday 21 November (Matchday 12). The prediction and analysis are on its page.
According to our simulations, the teams most likely to win automatic promotion (top 2) are Palermo (93 %), Modena (56 %), Ascoli (32 %). It is a probability, not a certainty: it is recalculated after every matchday.
According to our simulations, the teams most at risk of finishing in the 3 relegation places are Catanzaro (72 %), Vicenza Virtus (46 %), Empoli (41 %). The figure is updated every week with the results.
We combine our own statistical model (Poisson and Elo) with form, absences, weather and news for every Serie B match; a verifier checks every figure before publishing and all hits and misses are public.
