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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will win Serie A?

Across 10.000 simulations of the rest of the Serie A season (270 matches), Inter Milan are favourites for the title at 49%, ahead of Roma (27%).

  1. 1 Inter Milan crest Inter Milan 49% 28 pts now
  2. 2 Roma crest Roma 27% 27 pts now
  3. 3 Como 1907 crest Como 1907 16% 23 pts now
  4. 4 Lazio crest Lazio 6% 29 pts now
  5. 5 AC Milan crest AC Milan 1% 24 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 270 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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