Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov
Who will qualify for the Champions League from Serie A?
The teams most likely to finish in the top 4 of Serie A are Inter Milan (97%), Roma (92%), Como 1907 (86%), Lazio (62%), AC Milan (26%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- 1
Inter Milan
97%
28 pts now
- 2
Roma
92%
27 pts now
- 3
Como 1907
86%
23 pts now
- 4
Lazio
62%
29 pts now
- 5
AC Milan
26%
24 pts now
- 6
Juventus
17%
18 pts now
- 7
Frosinone
16%
20 pts now
- 8
Napoli
4%
15 pts now
- 9
Bologna
1%
17 pts now
How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 270 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.