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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will be relegated from Serie A?

The teams most at risk of finishing in the bottom 3 of Serie A are Venezia FC (69%), Udinese (52%), Monza (48%), Lecce (48%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.

  1. 1 Venezia FC crest Venezia FC 69% 6 pts now
  2. 2 Udinese crest Udinese 52% 5 pts now
  3. 3 Monza crest Monza 48% 7 pts now
  4. 4 Lecce crest Lecce 48% 10 pts now
  5. 5 Parma crest Parma 40% 8 pts now
  6. 6 Sassuolo crest Sassuolo 24% 8 pts now
  7. 7 Fiorentina crest Fiorentina 7% 9 pts now
  8. 8 Torino crest Torino 5% 14 pts now
  9. 9 Cagliari crest Cagliari 4% 16 pts now
  10. 10 Genoa crest Genoa 4% 13 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 270 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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