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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will win Ligue 1?

Across 10.000 simulations of the rest of the Ligue 1 season (216 matches), Paris Saint-Germain are favourites for the title at 95%, ahead of Lille (1%).

  1. 1 Paris Saint-Germain crest Paris Saint-Germain 95% 23 pts now
  2. 2 Lille crest Lille 1% 21 pts now
  3. 3 Paris FC crest Paris FC 1% 20 pts now
  4. 4 Monaco crest Monaco 1% 16 pts now
  5. 5 Marseille crest Marseille 1% 18 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 216 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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