Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov
Who will qualify for the Champions League from Ligue 1?
The teams most likely to finish in the top 3 of Ligue 1 are Paris Saint-Germain (>99 %), Lille (41%), Paris FC (37%), Monaco (36%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- 1
Paris Saint-Germain
>99%
23 pts now
- 2
Lille
41%
21 pts now
- 3
Paris FC
37%
20 pts now
- 4
Monaco
36%
16 pts now
- 5
Marseille
34%
18 pts now
- 6
Lyon
21%
17 pts now
- 7
Stade Rennais
12%
16 pts now
- 8
Brest
4%
15 pts now
- 9
Nice
4%
17 pts now
- 10
Lorient
4%
15 pts now
How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 216 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.
