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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will be relegated from Ligue 1?

The teams most at risk of finishing in the bottom 2 of Ligue 1 are Le Havre (79%), Angers SCO (57%), Troyes (30%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.

  1. 1 Le Havre crest Le Havre 79% 2 pts now
  2. 2 Angers SCO crest Angers SCO 57% 8 pts now
  3. 3 Troyes crest Troyes 30% 8 pts now
  4. 4 Le Mans crest Le Mans 18% 8 pts now
  5. 5 Auxerre crest Auxerre 14% 10 pts now
  6. 6 Strasbourg crest Strasbourg 1% 10 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 216 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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