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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will win LaLiga?

Across 10.000 simulations of the rest of the LaLiga season (261 matches), Barcelona are favourites for the title at 80%, ahead of Real Madrid (19%).

  1. 1 Barcelona crest Barcelona 80% 33 pts now
  2. 2 Real Madrid crest Real Madrid 19% 30 pts now
  3. 3 Atlético Madrid crest Atlético Madrid 1% 28 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 261 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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