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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will be relegated from LaLiga?

The teams most at risk of finishing in the bottom 3 of LaLiga are Málaga (83%), Getafe (37%), Osasuna (25%), Valencia (25%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.

  1. 1 Málaga crest Málaga 83% 5 pts now
  2. 2 Getafe crest Getafe 37% 12 pts now
  3. 3 Osasuna crest Osasuna 25% 12 pts now
  4. 4 Valencia crest Valencia 25% 9 pts now
  5. 5 Levante crest Levante 24% 11 pts now
  6. 6 Santander crest Santander 23% 14 pts now
  7. 7 Elche crest Elche 22% 10 pts now
  8. 8 Espanyol crest Espanyol 21% 12 pts now
  9. 9 Celta crest Celta 14% 13 pts now
  10. 10 Rayo Vallecano crest Rayo Vallecano 11% 12 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 261 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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