Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov
Who will qualify for the Champions League from LaLiga?
The teams most likely to finish in the top 4 of LaLiga are Barcelona (>99 %), Real Madrid (>99 %), Atlético Madrid (93%), Real Betis (75%), Real Sociedad (9%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- 1
Barcelona
>99%
33 pts now
- 2
Real Madrid
>99%
30 pts now
- 3
Atlético Madrid
93%
28 pts now
- 4
Real Betis
75%
26 pts now
- 5
Real Sociedad
9%
22 pts now
- 6
Villarreal
8%
15 pts now
- 7
Athletic
6%
16 pts now
- 8
Deportivo
3%
15 pts now
- 9
Sevilla
3%
18 pts now
- 10
Alavés
1%
13 pts now
How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 261 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.
