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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will win Bundesliga?

Across 10.000 simulations of the rest of the Bundesliga season (225 matches), Bayern are favourites for the title at 86%, ahead of Dortmund (12%).

  1. 1 Bayern crest Bayern 86% 21 pts now
  2. 2 Dortmund crest Dortmund 12% 21 pts now
  3. 3 Leverkusen crest Leverkusen 1% 16 pts now
  4. 4 RB Leipzig crest RB Leipzig 1% 18 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 225 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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