Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov
Who will be relegated from Bundesliga?
The teams most at risk of finishing in the bottom 2 of Bundesliga are Union Berlin (58%), M'gladbach (45%), Schalke (43%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- 1
Union Berlin
58%
7 pts now
- 2
M'gladbach
45%
4 pts now
- 3
Schalke
43%
6 pts now
- 4
1. FC Köln
18%
9 pts now
- 5
HSV
12%
12 pts now
- 6
SC Paderborn
8%
10 pts now
- 7
Augsburg
7%
9 pts now
- 8
Mainz
5%
10 pts now
- 9
Elversberg
1%
13 pts now
- 10
Bremen
1%
15 pts now
How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 225 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.
