Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov
Who will qualify for the Champions League from Bundesliga?
The teams most likely to finish in the top 4 of Bundesliga are Bayern (>99 %), Dortmund (94%), RB Leipzig (58%), Leverkusen (54%), Freiburg (47%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- 1
Bayern
>99%
21 pts now
- 2
Dortmund
94%
21 pts now
- 3
RB Leipzig
58%
18 pts now
- 4
Leverkusen
54%
16 pts now
- 5
Freiburg
47%
19 pts now
- 6
Stuttgart
27%
12 pts now
- 7
Frankfurt
5%
12 pts now
- 8
Hoffenheim
4%
12 pts now
- 9
Bremen
4%
15 pts now
- 10
Elversberg
3%
13 pts now
How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 225 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.
