Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov
Who will qualify for the Champions League from Premier League?
The teams most likely to finish in the top 4 of Premier League are Arsenal (>99 %), Brighton Hove (94%), Man City (90%), Liverpool (46%), Bournemouth (30%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- 1
Arsenal
>99%
27 pts now
- 2
Brighton Hove
94%
22 pts now
- 3
Man City
90%
21 pts now
- 4
Liverpool
46%
18 pts now
- 5
Bournemouth
30%
15 pts now
- 6
Aston Villa
8%
13 pts now
- 7
Chelsea
8%
16 pts now
- 8
Brentford
8%
14 pts now
- 9
Leeds United
5%
14 pts now
- 10
Everton
5%
16 pts now
How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 280 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.
