Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov
Who will be relegated from Premier League?
The teams most at risk of finishing in the bottom 3 of Premier League are Crystal Palace (77%), Sunderland (58%), Fulham (30%), Tottenham (28%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- 1
Crystal Palace
77%
7 pts now
- 2
Sunderland
58%
8 pts now
- 3
Fulham
30%
10 pts now
- 4
Tottenham
28%
12 pts now
- 5
Nottingham
22%
9 pts now
- 6
Man United
21%
8 pts now
- 7
Newcastle
17%
12 pts now
- 8
Hull City
16%
11 pts now
- 9
Ipswich Town
9%
11 pts now
- 10
Coventry City
8%
9 pts now
How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 280 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.
