According to the PronosLab analysis, Cordoba have a 55% chance of beating AD Ceuta FC, the draw 24% and an away win 21% (LaLiga 2, Saturday 7 November). Final score: 3-0.
Cordoba vs AD Ceuta FC prediction
LaLiga 2 · MD13
FT
Prediction
Low602481c84f Analysis produced with our own statistical model and artificial intelligence from official match data. Every figure is checked automatically against our database before publication, and the prediction is sealed before kick-off. How we work
Recent form
Cordoba
AD Ceuta FCPrediction post-mortem
Called itWe expected a home win for Córdoba, who started with more chances than Ceuta, and a match with plenty of goals, with both teams likely to score. Córdoba won 3-0 and already led 2-0 at halftime, so the game was settled early. We got the winner and the over 2.5 right, but missed on both teams to score, as Ceuta did not find the net. It was one of the possible scenarios, but the result did not confirm it.
We publish a post-mortem of every prediction, right or wrong. See our full track record →
You vs the AI
See leaderboard →Analyst's view
Verified dataCordoba and AD Ceuta FC meet on matchday 13 with a record of goals: in four of their last five meetings both sides scored, the latest a 3-2 in February. At the Estadio Nuevo Arcángel, Cordoba have a 55% chance of a home win, against 24% for a draw and 21% for an away win. Over 2.5 goals stands at 64% and both teams to score at 62%.
What moved the probability
Where every figure in the prediction comes from: the statistical model, the market and what the analyst changed with data. Pick an outcome.
Figures are the ones stored at publication. The analysis only moved away from the reference with verifiable data.
Who will score?
With confirmed line-upCordoba
-
1
Percan Forward · 6 goals in 842 min34%
-
2
Diego Bri Forward · 2 goals in 789 min22%
-
3
Eder García Midfielder · 4 goals in 847 min20%
-
4
Cristian Carracedo Forward · 1 goal in 1.046 min17%
-
5
V. Sanchez Forward · 2 goals in 245 min · on the bench8%
AD Ceuta FC
-
1
Jordi Escobar Forward · 4 goals in 686 min22%
-
2
Cedric Teguia Forward · 0 goals in 464 min13%
-
3
Carlos Hernández Defender · 4 goals in 1.100 min11%
-
4
Kuki Forward · 0 goals in 1.117 min9%
-
5
Y. Bodiger Midfielder · 1 goal in 599 min7%
Chance of scoring at least once: their team's expected goals in this match × their season scoring rate (smoothed) × the minutes they're expected to play. Confirmed absentees left out. An estimate, not a guarantee.
More match probabilities
Model · no AIWho avoids defeat
- Cordoba avoid defeat79%
- No draw76%
- AD Ceuta FC avoid defeat45%
Goals
- Over 1.5 goals74%
- Over 2.5 goals64%
- Over 3.5 goals27%
Expected goals: 2.7
Most likely scorelines
- Cordoba 1 – 0 AD Ceuta FC12.0%
- Cordoba 1 – 1 AD Ceuta FC11.4%
- Cordoba 2 – 0 AD Ceuta FC10.2%
- Cordoba 2 – 1 AD Ceuta FC9.7%
- Cordoba 0 – 0 AD Ceuta FC7.1%
Goals and scorelines come from the expected goals behind our 1X2; corners and cards from each team's recent matches with stats (and the referee). These are estimates, not guarantees.
Match timeline
18-
Anuar Mohamed Tuhami Yellow card9'
-
Anuar Mohamed Tuhami Own goal23'0-1
-
Diego Percan Goal · assist by Diego Bri25'1-1
-
Yann Bodiger Yellow card27'
-
Diego Percan Yellow card40'
-
Marino Illesca On · off Alexander Petxarroman Eizagirre45'
- Half-time
-
Diego Percan Goal · assist by Eder Garcia48'2-1
-
Alejandro Meléndez On · off Omar Sadik60'
-
Jordi Escobar On · off Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro61'
-
Yann Bodiger On · off Alejandro Camacho Ramírez61'
-
Diego Bri On · off Salim El Jebari64'
-
Diego Percan On · off Victor Sánchez Morales64'
-
José Matos On · off Abraham Bueno Espinosa76'
-
Daniel Budesca Yellow card78'
-
Adnane Ghailan Benktib On · off Théo Zidane79'
-
Eder Garcia On · off ibai sanz79'
-
Damián Cáceres Rodríguez Yellow card81'
-
Daniel Budesca On · off Egoitz Muñoz83'
- Full-time
Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from the official match data; updated every minute during the game.
Match stats
Full timeOur own index: 70% danger created (shots on target, shots inside the box, total shots, corners and xG) and 30% possession.
- 53% Possession 47%
- 14 Shots 12
- 7 Shots on target 5
- 9 Shots inside the box 10
- 11 Corners 5
- 5 Saves 5
- 388 Passes 345
- 19 Fouls 11
- 2 Offsides 3
- 3 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
Official match data. Updated every minute while live.
Live probability
- 24'Cordoba goal (1-0): their chance of winning went from 50% to 79%.
- 27'Cordoba goal (2-0): their chance of winning went from 79% to 94%.
- 48'Cordoba goal (3-0): their chance of winning went from 96% to 99%.
It starts from our pre-match prediction and is recalculated with the score and the minute, without AI. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Official line-ups
ConfirmedStarting elevens announced by the clubs before kick-off (updated at 18:05).
Manager Iván Ania
Bench (9)
- 20Nélson MonteDEF
- 24S. El JebariFWD
- 21Carlos AlbarránDEF
- 27Egoitz MuñozDEF
- 18Enol RodríguezFWD
- 19Ibai SanzFWD
- 13Guilherme FernandesGK
- 15V. SanchezFWD
- 7T. ZidaneMID
Manager José Juan Romero
Bench (12)
- 28Abraham Bueno EspinosaMID
- 7Alejandro Camacho RamírezMID
- 15JoaquínMID
- 13Guille VallejoGK
- 19E. SevikyanMID
- 29O. SadikFWD
- 16RedruDEF
- 18Alex PetxarromanDEF
- 32Chidiebere Gabriel OkoroMID
- 26Arick BetancourtMID
- 2Toni AbadDEF
- 33Magno Alexander Murillo ArboledaDEF
Official match data. The absences and doubts above are updated with the official report.
Ask the analyst
PremiumWith Premium you can ask the analyst about any match and get an instant answer based on PronosLab's data.
What's at stake
1/5- Top-tier league
Match importance computed from the table, the season simulation, the round and the rivalry.
Rest and travel
Both sides arrive with a similar load.
- Rest
- 7 days
- Games in 14 days
- 2
- Travel in 14 days
- 4.359 km
- Next game
- 7 days LaLiga Hypermotion
- Rest
- 6 days
- Games in 14 days
- 3
- Travel in 14 days
- 2.152 km
- Next game
- 8 days LaLiga Hypermotion
Index from 0 to 100 built from rest days, games in every competition we follow, kilometres between stadiums and whether they play again within 4 days.
Recent form
Head to head
Last 5- 7 Nov 2026 Cordoba3–0AD Ceuta FC
- 25 Feb 2026 AD Ceuta FC3–2Cordoba
- 2 Nov 2025 Cordoba2–0AD Ceuta FC
- 18 Feb 2024 AD Ceuta FC1–1Cordoba
- 12 Nov 2023 Cordoba3–3AD Ceuta FC
Team news
No significant absences confirmed.
The referee
6 matches- CordobaNo matches with him
- AD Ceuta FCNo matches with him
His matches over the last 2 years in the competitions we follow. Cards and penalties from 6 matches with event data, compared with the average of those competitions.
Key facts
How do Cordoba and AD Ceuta FC come into the match?
Cordoba are 11th on 19 points and AD Ceuta FC 22nd on 5.
How did the last meeting end?
The last meeting, on 07/11/2026, finished Cordoba 3-0 AD Ceuta FC.
Other LaLiga 2 fixtures
- Castellón – EibarFri 6 Nov
- Burgos – Celta de Vigo IISat 7 Nov
- Cadiz – OviedoSat 7 Nov
- Leganes – AlbaceteSat 7 Nov
Community vs AI
LiveNobody has picked yet. Be the first to take on the AI.
