Rapid Vienna, with a 84 % chance of finishing as champions according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the Austrian Bundesliga season with our model.
2026-27 season · updated Monday 9 November
How to read it: we simulate the remaining 60 matches 10.000 times with our model. 40% means the team finishes in that zone in 4 out of 10 simulated seasons; it is not a fixed prediction and it changes every week with the results.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD13
Lask Linz
17:00
Raiffeisen Arena
TSV Hartberg
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD13
WSG Wattens
17:00
Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Austria Lustenau
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD13
Grazer AK
19:30
Merkur Arena
Rapid Vienna
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD13
SCR Altach
14:30
CASHPOINT Arena
Sturm Graz
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD13
Wolfsberger AC
14:30
Lavanttal Arena
Ried
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD13
Austria Vienna
17:00
Generali Arena
Red Bull Salzburg
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD14
Grazer AK
19:30
Merkur Arena
SCR Altach
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD14
Austria Vienna
17:00
Generali Arena
Wolfsberger AC
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD14
Austria Lustenau
19:30
ImmoAgentur Stadion Bregenz
Rapid Vienna
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD14
Sturm Graz
14:30
Merkur Arena
WSG Wattens
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD14
Ried
14:30
Innviertel Arena
TSV Hartberg
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD14
Red Bull Salzburg
17:00
Red Bull Arena
Lask Linz
The analysis for this match is published a few hours before kick-off.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD12
Sturm Graz
3–4
FT
Red Bull Salzburg
No analysis was published for this match.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD12
WSG Wattens
1–1
FT
Austria Vienna
No analysis was published for this match.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD12
TSV Hartberg
3–0
FT
SCR Altach
No analysis was published for this match.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD12
Ried
2–4
FT
Lask Linz
No analysis was published for this match.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD12
Austria Lustenau
2–1
FT
Grazer AK
No analysis was published for this match.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD12
Rapid Vienna
6–0
FT
Wolfsberger AC
No analysis was published for this match.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD11
Austria Vienna
0–2
FT
Rapid Vienna
No analysis was published for this match.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD11
Wolfsberger AC
1–1
FT
Sturm Graz
No analysis was published for this match.
Austrian BundesligaAUT
· MD11
Red Bull Salzburg
5–1
FT
Austria Lustenau
No analysis was published for this match.
Rapid Vienna, with a 84 % chance of finishing as champions according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the Austrian Bundesliga season with our model.
Rapid Vienna lead Austrian Bundesliga with 33 points from 12 matches.
Lask Linz v TSV Hartberg, on Saturday 21 November (Matchday 13). The prediction and analysis are on its page.
According to our simulations, the teams most at risk of finishing in the 1 relegation places are Wolfsberger AC (51 %), Grazer AK (21 %), Austria Lustenau (12 %). The figure is updated every week with the results.
We combine our own statistical model (Poisson and Elo) with form, absences, weather and news for every Austrian Bundesliga match; a verifier checks every figure before publishing and all hits and misses are public.
