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Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction

Austrian Bundesliga · MD12 FT

Prediction

No analysis was published for this match.

Recent form

Sturm Graz crest Sturm Graz
5thPosition
LDDWW
Red Bull Salzburg crest Red Bull Salzburg
2ndPosition
LWWDW
AUT-5607Austrian Bundesliga · MD12
FT 3–4
  1. Sturm Graz5th · Home
  2. Merkur ArenaSunday 8 November
  3. Red Bull Salzburg2nd · Away
PronosLab analystVerified data
Sturm Graz crest Sturm Graz Red Bull Salzburg crest Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz win –
Draw –
Red Bull Salzburg win –

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PronosLab–
Result3-4Red Bull Salzburg

Playing style

Last 6 matches
Possession Shots On target In the box Corners

Sturm GrazRed Bull Salzburg

STUSAL
Possession49%57%
Shots18.816.3
Shots on target5.35.7
Shots inside the box11.810.0
Corners6.05.3
Goals scored per match2.02.2
Goals conceded per match1.71.7

Average of each team's last 10 official matches before this one (official match statistics). The further out, the higher on that metric.

Match timeline

21
  1. Haris Tabaković Goal · assist by Bartosz Mazurek
    5'0-1
  2. Oumar Diakité Goal · assist by Jurgen Heil
    14'1-1
  3. Oumar Diakité VAR · Goal confirmed
    15'
  4. Oumar Diakité Goal · assist by Jon Gorenc Stanković
    18'2-1
  5. Leandro Morgalla Goal · assist by Bartosz Mazurek
    29'2-2
  6. Danny Röhl Red card
    32'
  7. Half-time
  8. Soumaila Diabate Yellow card
    55'
  9. Soumaila Diabate On · off Yorbe Vertessen
    59'
  10. Jacob Peter Hödl On · off Valmir Matoshi
    66'
  11. Damir Redzic Goal · assist by Yorbe Vertessen
    67'2-3
  12. Jon Gorenc Stanković Goal · assist by Arjan Malić
    70'3-3
  13. Jesper Lindstrom Goal · assist by Abubakr Barry
    74'3-4
  14. Arjan Malić Yellow card
    75'
  15. Haris Tabaković Yellow card
    77'
  16. Jurgen Heil On · off Gizo Mamageishvili
    77'
  17. Damir Redzic On · off Edmund Baidoo
    77'
  18. Simon Seidl On · off Seedy Jatta
    78'
  19. Jesper Lindstrom On · off Umut Deger Tohumcu
    85'
  20. Leandro Morgalla On · off Anrie Chase
    85'
  21. Luis Balbo On · off Albert Vallci
    89'
  22. Umut Deger Tohumcu Yellow card
    89'
  23. Full-time

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from the official match data; updated every minute during the game.

Match stats

Full time
Sturm GrazPronosLab dominanceRed Bull Salzburg

Our own index: 70% danger created (shots on target, shots inside the box, total shots, corners and xG) and 30% possession.

Sturm Graz expected goals0.97 xGscored 3
Red Bull Salzburg expected goals2.15 xGscored 4
  • 46% Possession 54%
  • 12 Shots 13
  • 5 Shots on target 5
  • 7 Shots inside the box 9
  • 1 Corners 2
  • 1 Saves 2
  • 326 Passes 394
  • 10 Fouls 17
  • 5 Offsides 3
  • 1 Yellow cards 3
  • 0 Red cards 0

Official match data. Updated every minute while live.

In-depth analysis

No analysis was published for this match.

What's at stake

2/5
Regular match
  • Two of the league's strongest sides
  • Both in the top six

Match importance computed from the table, the season simulation, the round and the rivalry.

Rest and travel

Sturm Graz look fresher: fewer games and less travel in the last two weeks.

Sturm Graz 41/100
Heavy load
Rest
3 days
Games in 14 days
2
Travel in 14 days
104 km
Next game
–
Red Bull Salzburg 66/100
Very heavy load
Rest
3 days
Games in 14 days
3
Travel in 14 days
2.383 km
Next game
–

Index from 0 to 100 built from rest days, games in every competition we follow, kilometres between stadiums and whether they play again within 4 days.

Recent form

Sturm GrazRed Bull Salzburg
Goals scored per game
1.601.80
Goals conceded per game
1.401.10
League position
5th 19 pts 2nd 30 pts

Head to head

Last 1
0Sturm Graz
0Draws
1Red Bull Salzburg
  • 20 Sep 2026 Red Bull Salzburg3–0Sturm Graz

Team news

No significant absences confirmed.

The referee

6 matches
Walter Altmann
Home win 33%Draws 17%Away win 50%
Goals per match3.2
Yellows per match4.2average
Reds per match0.00below average
Penalties per match0.33average
  • Sturm GrazW1 D0 L0 with him
  • Red Bull SalzburgW1 D0 L0 with him

His matches over the last 2 years in the competitions we follow. Cards and penalties from 6 matches with event data, compared with the average of those competitions.

Key facts

How do Sturm Graz and Red Bull Salzburg come into the match?

Sturm Graz are 5th on 19 points and Red Bull Salzburg 2nd on 30.

How did the last meeting end?

The last meeting, on 20/09/2026, finished Red Bull Salzburg 3-0 Sturm Graz.

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