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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will be relegated from Austrian Bundesliga?

The teams most at risk of finishing in the bottom 1 of Austrian Bundesliga are Wolfsberger AC (51%), Grazer AK (21%), Austria Lustenau (12%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.

  1. 1 Wolfsberger AC crest Wolfsberger AC 51% 6 pts now
  2. 2 Grazer AK crest Grazer AK 21% 10 pts now
  3. 3 Austria Lustenau crest Austria Lustenau 12% 11 pts now
  4. 4 Austria Vienna crest Austria Vienna 9% 8 pts now
  5. 5 SCR Altach crest SCR Altach 7% 10 pts now
  6. 6 WSG Wattens crest WSG Wattens 1% 13 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 60 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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