PronosLab
EN
Español English Français Italiano Deutsch
Log in

Simulation · our own model

Who will win Swiss Super League?

We simulate the remaining 54 matches 10.000 times with our model, starting from the real table.

Updated: Wed 11 Nov · See table and fixtures

Title favourites
FC Lugano crest FC Lugano
88%
Most at risk of relegation
Lausanne crest Lausanne
56%
  1. 1 FC Lugano crest FC Lugano 34 61 88% 0%
  2. 2 BSC Young Boys crest BSC Young Boys 28 51 9% 0%
  3. 3 FC Sion crest FC Sion 26 48 3% 0%
  4. 4 FC ST. Gallen crest FC ST. Gallen 22 42 <1% <1%
  5. 5 FC Zurich crest FC Zurich 21 40 <1% <1%
  6. 6 Servette FC crest Servette FC 17 36 <1% <1%
  7. 7 FC Basel 1893 crest FC Basel 1893 15 33 0% 2%
  8. 9 FC Luzern crest FC Luzern 13 31 0% 5%
  9. 8 FC Thun crest FC Thun 14 31 0% 6%
  10. 11 FC Vaduz crest FC Vaduz 10 30 0% 7%
  11. 10 Grasshoppers crest Grasshoppers 11 26 0% 24%
  12. 12 Lausanne crest Lausanne 7 23 0% 56%

“Final pts” is the average points total at the end of the season across all simulations. ▲▼: change in percentage points over 7 days.

Simulator

What if…? Pick results and see how the season changes

Set the result of upcoming matches and we replay the rest of the league 4.000 times with our model. Matches you leave alone follow the model’s probabilities.

Sat 21 Nov

  • BSC Young Boys crest BSC Young Boys FC Thun FC Thun crest
  • FC Lugano crest FC Lugano Grasshoppers Grasshoppers crest
  • FC Sion crest FC Sion Servette FC Servette FC crest

Sun 22 Nov

  • FC Zurich crest FC Zurich FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen crest
  • FC Basel 1893 crest FC Basel 1893 FC Luzern FC Luzern crest
  • Lausanne crest Lausanne FC Vaduz FC Vaduz crest

Sat 28 Nov

  • FC Vaduz crest FC Vaduz FC Zurich FC Zurich crest
  • Grasshoppers crest Grasshoppers FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 crest
  • Servette FC crest Servette FC Lausanne Lausanne crest

Sun 29 Nov

  • FC Luzern crest FC Luzern FC Lugano FC Lugano crest
  • FC Sion crest FC Sion BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys crest
  • FC Thun crest FC Thun FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen crest

Sat 5 Dec

  • FC Vaduz crest FC Vaduz BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys crest
  • FC Thun crest FC Thun FC Luzern FC Luzern crest
  • FC Zurich crest FC Zurich FC Lugano FC Lugano crest

Sun 6 Dec

  • FC Basel 1893 crest FC Basel 1893 Servette FC Servette FC crest
  • FC ST. Gallen crest FC ST. Gallen Grasshoppers Grasshoppers crest
  • Lausanne crest Lausanne FC Sion FC Sion crest

Sat 12 Dec

  • FC Zurich crest FC Zurich Grasshoppers Grasshoppers crest
  • FC ST. Gallen crest FC ST. Gallen FC Vaduz FC Vaduz crest
  • BSC Young Boys crest BSC Young Boys Lausanne Lausanne crest

Sun 13 Dec

  • FC Luzern crest FC Luzern Servette FC Servette FC crest
  • FC Lugano crest FC Lugano FC Thun FC Thun crest
  • FC Sion crest FC Sion FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 crest

Sat 19 Dec

  • Grasshoppers crest Grasshoppers FC Luzern FC Luzern crest
  • Lausanne crest Lausanne FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen crest
  • FC Basel 1893 crest FC Basel 1893 FC Zurich FC Zurich crest

Sun 20 Dec

  • FC Thun crest FC Thun FC Sion FC Sion crest
  • FC Vaduz crest FC Vaduz FC Lugano FC Lugano crest
  • Servette FC crest Servette FC BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys crest

Under 1, X and 2 you can see our model’s probability. Tap again to clear a result.

0 results set

Pick one or more results and tap Recalculate.

Where will each team finish?

Share of simulations in which each team ends up in each position. The stronger the colour, the more likely.

123456789101112 FC Lugano 88 10 1 BSC Young Boys 9 54 27 8 2 FC Sion 3 28 43 17 7 2 FC ST. Gallen 5 15 34 27 13 3 1 FC Zurich 2 10 26 33 19 5 2 Servette FC 2 9 18 30 20 11 6 3 1 FC Basel 1893 3 7 16 23 20 15 9 5 2 FC Luzern 3 8 16 20 19 17 11 5 FC Thun 2 7 14 18 20 19 13 6 FC Vaduz 2 4 15 18 20 20 14 7 Grasshoppers 4 7 12 20 32 24 Lausanne 1 3 6 11 24 56

How the title chances have changed

0%45%90% Tue 10 NovWed 11 Nov

FC ST. GallenFC LuganoFC SionBSC Young Boys

Frequently asked questions

Who are the favourites to win Swiss Super League?

FC Lugano finish as champions in 88% of our 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season, ahead of BSC Young Boys (9%).

Which teams are most at risk of relegation from Swiss Super League?

According to our simulations: Lausanne (56 %), Grasshoppers (24 %).

How it works

Power rankings · Methodology