Simulation · Swiss Super League
What are FC Lugano's chances this season?
FC Lugano win Swiss Super League in 88% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
Updated: Wed 11 Nov
Where they are and where they could finish
- Current position
- 1st
- Points (13 matches)
- 34
- Expected final points
- 61
- Most likely final position
- 1st (88 %)
- Range in 8 out of 10 simulations
- 1st to 2nd
Where will FC Lugano finish?
Share of simulations in which they end in each position.
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FC Lugano win Swiss Super League in 88% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Source: PronosLab, Wed 11 Nov. https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/fc-lugano
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Frequently asked questions
Can FC Lugano win Swiss Super League?
FC Lugano win Swiss Super League in 88% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 1 of 12 for title chances.
Will FC Lugano play in the Champions League next season?
FC Lugano finish in the top 1 of Swiss Super League (a Champions League place) in 88% of our 10,000 simulations.
Will FC Lugano be relegated?
FC Lugano are relegated in 0% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Swiss Super League season. They rank 10 of 12 for relegation risk.
How are these probabilities calculated?
We start from the real table and play the 54 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.
How it works
- We start from the real table and play the remaining matches one by one, using our model's probabilities (Poisson and Elo).
- We repeat the season 10,000 times and count how often each team finishes in each position. It updates twice a day.
- Ties are broken by goal difference as an approximation; some leagues use head-to-head, so it may differ when teams are level on points.
FC Lugano team page · All Swiss Super League probabilities · Methodology
Probabilities estimated with our own model. They do not guarantee any result.
