Simulation · Swiss Super League
What are FC Thun's chances this season?
FC Thun finish in the top 1 of Swiss Super League (a Champions League place) in 0% of our 10,000 simulations.
Updated: Wed 11 Nov
Where they are and where they could finish
- Current position
- 8th
- Points (13 matches)
- 14
- Expected final points
- 31
- Most likely final position
- 9th (20 %)
- Range in 8 out of 10 simulations
- 7th to 11th
Where will FC Thun finish?
Share of simulations in which they end in each position.
Quote or embed this figure
You can use these numbers on your site, newspaper or social channels if you credit the source (CC BY 4.0).
FC Thun finish in the top 1 of Swiss Super League (a Champions League place) in 0% of our 10,000 simulations. Source: PronosLab, Wed 11 Nov. https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/fc-thun
Chart for your website
Frequently asked questions
Can FC Thun win Swiss Super League?
FC Thun win Swiss Super League in 0% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 9 of 12 for title chances.
Will FC Thun play in the Champions League next season?
FC Thun finish in the top 1 of Swiss Super League (a Champions League place) in 0% of our 10,000 simulations.
Will FC Thun be relegated?
FC Thun are relegated in 6% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Swiss Super League season. They rank 4 of 12 for relegation risk.
How are these probabilities calculated?
We start from the real table and play the 54 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.
How it works
- We start from the real table and play the remaining matches one by one, using our model's probabilities (Poisson and Elo).
- We repeat the season 10,000 times and count how often each team finishes in each position. It updates twice a day.
- Ties are broken by goal difference as an approximation; some leagues use head-to-head, so it may differ when teams are level on points.
FC Thun team page · All Swiss Super League probabilities · Methodology
Probabilities estimated with our own model. They do not guarantee any result.
