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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will win Primeira Liga?

Across 10.000 simulations of the rest of the Primeira Liga season (208 matches), Porto are favourites for the title at 49%, ahead of Benfica (44%).

  1. 1 Porto crest Porto 49% 33 pts now
  2. 2 Benfica crest Benfica 44% 28 pts now
  3. 3 Sporting CP crest Sporting CP 7% 24 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 208 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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