Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov
Who will win Primeira Liga?
Across 10.000 simulations of the rest of the Primeira Liga season (208 matches), Porto are favourites for the title at 49%, ahead of Benfica (44%).
- 1
Porto
49%
33 pts now
- 2
Benfica
44%
28 pts now
- 3
Sporting CP
7%
24 pts now
How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 208 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.