Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov
Who will be relegated from Primeira Liga?
The teams most at risk of finishing in the bottom 2 of Primeira Liga are Estoril Praia (59%), Rio Ave (48%), Casa Pia (40%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- 1
Estoril Praia
59%
2 pts now
- 2
Rio Ave
48%
7 pts now
- 3
Casa Pia
40%
8 pts now
- 4
Marítimo
23%
8 pts now
- 5
Amadora
12%
10 pts now
- 6
CD Nacional
11%
10 pts now
- 7
Vitória SC
5%
9 pts now
- 8
Moreirense
1%
14 pts now
- 9
Alverca
1%
12 pts now
How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 208 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.
