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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will qualify for the Champions League from Eredivisie?

The teams most likely to finish in the top 2 of Eredivisie are PSV (78%), Ajax (55%), Twente (41%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.

  1. 1 PSV crest PSV 78% 26 pts now
  2. 2 Ajax crest Ajax 55% 25 pts now
  3. 3 Twente crest Twente 41% 24 pts now
  4. 4 Feyenoord crest Feyenoord 19% 25 pts now
  5. 5 AZ crest AZ 4% 23 pts now
  6. 6 Heerenveen crest Heerenveen 2% 21 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 198 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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