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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will be relegated from Eredivisie?

The teams most at risk of finishing in the bottom 2 of Eredivisie are Willem II (99%), Excelsior (25%), Zwolle (23%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.

  1. 1 Willem II crest Willem II 99% 3 pts now
  2. 2 Excelsior crest Excelsior 25% 11 pts now
  3. 3 Zwolle crest Zwolle 23% 12 pts now
  4. 4 Den Haag crest Den Haag 19% 9 pts now
  5. 5 Sparta crest Sparta 16% 12 pts now
  6. 6 Telstar crest Telstar 9% 10 pts now
  7. 7 Utrecht crest Utrecht 6% 12 pts now
  8. 8 Go Ahead crest Go Ahead 1% 17 pts now
  9. 9 Cambuur crest Cambuur 1% 15 pts now
  10. 10 NEC crest NEC 1% 14 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 198 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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