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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will be relegated from LaLiga 2?

The teams most at risk of finishing in the bottom 4 of LaLiga 2 are AD Ceuta FC (97%), Albacete (69%), Leganes (66%), Real Sociedad II (40%), Cadiz (31%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.

  1. 1 AD Ceuta FC crest AD Ceuta FC 97% 5 pts now
  2. 2 Albacete crest Albacete 69% 10 pts now
  3. 3 Leganes crest Leganes 66% 12 pts now
  4. 4 Real Sociedad II crest Real Sociedad II 40% 12 pts now
  5. 5 Cadiz crest Cadiz 31% 10 pts now
  6. 6 FC Andorra crest FC Andorra 24% 11 pts now
  7. 7 Eldense crest Eldense 24% 14 pts now
  8. 8 Celta de Vigo II crest Celta de Vigo II 20% 13 pts now
  9. 9 Valladolid crest Valladolid 8% 18 pts now
  10. 10 Tenerife crest Tenerife 6% 15 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 322 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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