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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will be promoted from LaLiga 2?

The teams most likely to finish in the top 2 of LaLiga 2 are Castellón (87%), Almeria (70%), Granada CF (18%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.

  1. 1 Castellón crest Castellón 87% 27 pts now
  2. 2 Almeria crest Almeria 70% 29 pts now
  3. 3 Granada CF crest Granada CF 18% 23 pts now
  4. 4 Eibar crest Eibar 14% 23 pts now
  5. 5 Burgos crest Burgos 7% 24 pts now
  6. 6 Mallorca crest Mallorca 3% 22 pts now
  7. 7 Girona crest Girona 1% 21 pts now
  8. 8 Sporting Gijon crest Sporting Gijon 1% 22 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 322 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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