Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov
Who will be relegated from Championship?
The teams most at risk of finishing in the bottom 3 of Championship are Preston NE (84%), Burnley (61%), Derby County (40%), Watford (37%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- 1
Preston NE
84%
8 pts now
- 2
Burnley
61%
10 pts now
- 3
Derby County
40%
10 pts now
- 4
Watford
37%
15 pts now
- 5
Lincoln City
27%
15 pts now
- 6
Charlton
24%
17 pts now
- 7
Bolton
11%
17 pts now
- 8
Bristol City
9%
18 pts now
- 9
Cardiff
3%
18 pts now
- 10
Blackburn
1%
21 pts now
How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 372 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.
