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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will be promoted from Championship?

The teams most likely to finish in the top 2 of Championship are Middlesbrough (56%), Birmingham (43%), Southampton (43%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.

  1. 1 Middlesbrough crest Middlesbrough 56% 29 pts now
  2. 2 Birmingham crest Birmingham 43% 29 pts now
  3. 3 Southampton crest Southampton 43% 24 pts now
  4. 4 West Brom crest West Brom 13% 28 pts now
  5. 5 Swansea crest Swansea 10% 26 pts now
  6. 6 Stoke crest Stoke 9% 29 pts now
  7. 7 Norwich crest Norwich 9% 21 pts now
  8. 8 West Ham crest West Ham 7% 23 pts now
  9. 9 Wolverhampton crest Wolverhampton 3% 28 pts now
  10. 10 Sheffield Utd crest Sheffield Utd 3% 22 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 372 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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