Simulation · LaLiga 2

What are Sabadell's chances this season?

Q: Can Sabadell win LaLiga 2?

Sabadell win LaLiga 2 in <1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 11 of 22 for title chances.

Q: Will Sabadell be relegated?

Sabadell are relegated in 2% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the LaLiga 2 season. They rank 14 of 22 for relegation risk.

Q: How are these probabilities calculated?

We start from the real table and play the 322 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.

Sabadell go up automatically (top 2 in LaLiga 2) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Updated: Wed 11 Nov

Title<1%

Automatic promotion (top 2)<1%

Promotion play-off13%

Relegation2%

Where they are and where they could finish

Current position: 13th
Points (13 matches): 18
Expected final points: 58
Most likely final position: 10th (10 %)
Range in 8 out of 10 simulations: 6th to 16th

Eldense – Sabadell · Sun 15 Nov →

How their chances have changed

Last 60 days. Each point is a fresh calculation using real results.

TitleAutomatic promotion (top 2)Relegation

Where will Sabadell finish?

Share of simulations in which they end in each position.

1
2
3
24
45
66
87
98
99
1010
911
912
813
714
615
416
317
318
119
20
21
22

Quote or embed this figure

You can use these numbers on your site, newspaper or social channels if you credit the source (CC BY 4.0).

Sabadell go up automatically (top 2 in LaLiga 2) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations. Source: PronosLab, Wed 11 Nov. https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/sabadell

Chart for your website

<div class="pronoslab-widget" data-team="235" data-lang="en"><a href="https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/sabadell" rel="nofollow">Sabadell's chances this season</a> · <a href="https://pronoslab.com/en" rel="nofollow">PronosLab</a></div>
<script async src="https://pronoslab.com/embed.js"></script>

Frequently asked questions

Can Sabadell win LaLiga 2?

Sabadell win LaLiga 2 in <1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 11 of 22 for title chances.

Will Sabadell be promoted this season?

Sabadell go up automatically (top 2 in LaLiga 2) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Will Sabadell be relegated?

Sabadell are relegated in 2% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the LaLiga 2 season. They rank 14 of 22 for relegation risk.

How are these probabilities calculated?

We start from the real table and play the 322 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.

How it works

We start from the real table and play the remaining matches one by one, using our model's probabilities (Poisson and Elo).
We repeat the season 10,000 times and count how often each team finishes in each position. It updates twice a day.
Ties are broken by goal difference as an approximation; some leagues use head-to-head, so it may differ when teams are level on points.

Sabadell team page · All LaLiga 2 probabilities · Methodology

Probabilities estimated with our own model. They do not guarantee any result.