Simulation · Ligue 2

What are Rodez's chances this season?

Q: Can Rodez win Ligue 2?

Rodez win Ligue 2 in <1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 13 of 18 for title chances.

Q: Will Rodez be promoted this season?

Rodez go up automatically (top 2 in Ligue 2) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Q: How are these probabilities calculated?

We start from the real table and play the 198 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.

Rodez are relegated in 16% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Ligue 2 season.

Updated: Wed 11 Nov

Title<1%

Automatic promotion (top 2)<1%

Relegation16%

Where they are and where they could finish

Current position: 13th
Points (12 matches): 13
Expected final points: 40
Most likely final position: 15th (11 %)
Range in 8 out of 10 simulations: 8th to 17th

Guingamp – Rodez · Fri 20 Nov →

How their chances have changed

Last 60 days. Each point is a fresh calculation using real results.

TitleAutomatic promotion (top 2)Relegation

Where will Rodez finish?

Share of simulations in which they end in each position.

1
2
3
4
15
26
37
48
69
710
811
912
1013
1014
1115
1016
917
718

Quote or embed this figure

You can use these numbers on your site, newspaper or social channels if you credit the source (CC BY 4.0).

Rodez are relegated in 16% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Ligue 2 season. Source: PronosLab, Wed 11 Nov. https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/rodez

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Frequently asked questions

Can Rodez win Ligue 2?

Rodez win Ligue 2 in <1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 13 of 18 for title chances.

Will Rodez be promoted this season?

Rodez go up automatically (top 2 in Ligue 2) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Will Rodez be relegated?

Rodez are relegated in 16% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Ligue 2 season. They rank 6 of 18 for relegation risk.

How are these probabilities calculated?

We start from the real table and play the 198 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.

How it works

We start from the real table and play the remaining matches one by one, using our model's probabilities (Poisson and Elo).
We repeat the season 10,000 times and count how often each team finishes in each position. It updates twice a day.
Ties are broken by goal difference as an approximation; some leagues use head-to-head, so it may differ when teams are level on points.

Rodez team page · All Ligue 2 probabilities · Methodology

Probabilities estimated with our own model. They do not guarantee any result.