Simulation · Ligue 2

What are RED Star FC 93's chances this season?

Q: Can RED Star FC 93 win Ligue 2?

RED Star FC 93 win Ligue 2 in <1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 8 of 18 for title chances.

Q: Will RED Star FC 93 be relegated?

RED Star FC 93 are relegated in 3% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Ligue 2 season. They rank 10 of 18 for relegation risk.

Q: How are these probabilities calculated?

We start from the real table and play the 198 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.

RED Star FC 93 go up automatically (top 2 in Ligue 2) in 1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Updated: Wed 11 Nov

Title<1%

Automatic promotion (top 2)1%

Relegation3%

Where they are and where they could finish

Current position: 8th
Points (12 matches): 17
Expected final points: 46
Most likely final position: 9th (11 %)
Range in 8 out of 10 simulations: 5th to 15th

RED Star FC 93 – PAU · Fri 20 Nov →

How their chances have changed

Last 60 days. Each point is a fresh calculation using real results.

TitleAutomatic promotion (top 2)Relegation

Where will RED Star FC 93 finish?

Share of simulations in which they end in each position.

1
2
23
34
65
86
107
108
119
1010
911
812
713
514
415
316
217
18

Quote or embed this figure

You can use these numbers on your site, newspaper or social channels if you credit the source (CC BY 4.0).

RED Star FC 93 go up automatically (top 2 in Ligue 2) in 1% of our 10,000 simulations. Source: PronosLab, Wed 11 Nov. https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/red-star-fc-93

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Frequently asked questions

Can RED Star FC 93 win Ligue 2?

RED Star FC 93 win Ligue 2 in <1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 8 of 18 for title chances.

Will RED Star FC 93 be promoted this season?

RED Star FC 93 go up automatically (top 2 in Ligue 2) in 1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Will RED Star FC 93 be relegated?

RED Star FC 93 are relegated in 3% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Ligue 2 season. They rank 10 of 18 for relegation risk.

How are these probabilities calculated?

We start from the real table and play the 198 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.

How it works

We start from the real table and play the remaining matches one by one, using our model's probabilities (Poisson and Elo).
We repeat the season 10,000 times and count how often each team finishes in each position. It updates twice a day.
Ties are broken by goal difference as an approximation; some leagues use head-to-head, so it may differ when teams are level on points.

RED Star FC 93 team page · All Ligue 2 probabilities · Methodology

Probabilities estimated with our own model. They do not guarantee any result.