Simulation · Austrian Bundesliga
What are Red Bull Salzburg's chances this season?
Red Bull Salzburg win Austrian Bundesliga in 15% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
Updated: Wed 11 Nov
Where they are and where they could finish
- Current position
- 2nd
- Points (12 matches)
- 30
- Expected final points
- 65
- Most likely final position
- 2nd (68 %)
- Range in 8 out of 10 simulations
- 1st to 3rd
Where will Red Bull Salzburg finish?
Share of simulations in which they end in each position.
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Red Bull Salzburg win Austrian Bundesliga in 15% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Source: PronosLab, Wed 11 Nov. https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/red-bull-salzburg
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Frequently asked questions
Can Red Bull Salzburg win Austrian Bundesliga?
Red Bull Salzburg win Austrian Bundesliga in 15% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 2 of 12 for title chances.
Will Red Bull Salzburg play in the Champions League next season?
Red Bull Salzburg finish in the top 1 of Austrian Bundesliga (a Champions League place) in 15% of our 10,000 simulations.
Will Red Bull Salzburg be relegated?
Red Bull Salzburg are relegated in 0% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Austrian Bundesliga season. They rank 10 of 12 for relegation risk.
How are these probabilities calculated?
We start from the real table and play the 60 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.
How it works
- We start from the real table and play the remaining matches one by one, using our model's probabilities (Poisson and Elo).
- We repeat the season 10,000 times and count how often each team finishes in each position. It updates twice a day.
- Ties are broken by goal difference as an approximation; some leagues use head-to-head, so it may differ when teams are level on points.
Red Bull Salzburg team page · All Austrian Bundesliga probabilities · Methodology
Probabilities estimated with our own model. They do not guarantee any result.
