Simulation · Serie B
What are Modena's chances this season?
Modena win Serie B in 16% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
Updated: Wed 11 Nov
Where they are and where they could finish
- Current position
- 2nd
- Points (11 matches)
- 23
- Expected final points
- 69
- Most likely final position
- 2nd (40 %)
- Range in 8 out of 10 simulations
- 1st to 5th
How their chances have changed
Last 60 days. Each point is a fresh calculation using real results.
TitleAutomatic promotion (top 2)Relegation
Where will Modena finish?
Share of simulations in which they end in each position.
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Modena win Serie B in 16% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Source: PronosLab, Wed 11 Nov. https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/modena
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Frequently asked questions
Can Modena win Serie B?
Modena win Serie B in 16% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 2 of 20 for title chances.
Will Modena be promoted this season?
Modena go up automatically (top 2 in Serie B) in 56% of our 10,000 simulations.
Will Modena be relegated?
Modena are relegated in 0% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Serie B season. They rank 19 of 20 for relegation risk.
How are these probabilities calculated?
We start from the real table and play the 270 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.
How it works
- We start from the real table and play the remaining matches one by one, using our model's probabilities (Poisson and Elo).
- We repeat the season 10,000 times and count how often each team finishes in each position. It updates twice a day.
- Ties are broken by goal difference as an approximation; some leagues use head-to-head, so it may differ when teams are level on points.
Modena team page · All Serie B probabilities · Methodology
Probabilities estimated with our own model. They do not guarantee any result.
