Simulation · Austrian Bundesliga
What are Grazer AK's chances this season?
Grazer AK are relegated in 21% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Austrian Bundesliga season.
Updated: Wed 11 Nov
Where they are and where they could finish
- Current position
- 10th
- Points (12 matches)
- 10
- Expected final points
- 32
- Most likely final position
- 11th (26 %)
- Range in 8 out of 10 simulations
- 8th to 12th
Where will Grazer AK finish?
Share of simulations in which they end in each position.
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Grazer AK are relegated in 21% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Austrian Bundesliga season. Source: PronosLab, Wed 11 Nov. https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/grazer-ak
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Frequently asked questions
Can Grazer AK win Austrian Bundesliga?
Grazer AK win Austrian Bundesliga in 0% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 11 of 12 for title chances.
Will Grazer AK play in the Champions League next season?
Grazer AK finish in the top 1 of Austrian Bundesliga (a Champions League place) in 0% of our 10,000 simulations.
Will Grazer AK be relegated?
Grazer AK are relegated in 21% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Austrian Bundesliga season. They rank 2 of 12 for relegation risk.
How are these probabilities calculated?
We start from the real table and play the 60 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.
How it works
- We start from the real table and play the remaining matches one by one, using our model's probabilities (Poisson and Elo).
- We repeat the season 10,000 times and count how often each team finishes in each position. It updates twice a day.
- Ties are broken by goal difference as an approximation; some leagues use head-to-head, so it may differ when teams are level on points.
Grazer AK team page · All Austrian Bundesliga probabilities · Methodology
Probabilities estimated with our own model. They do not guarantee any result.
