Simulation · LaLiga 2

What are Cordoba's chances this season?

Q: Can Cordoba win LaLiga 2?

Cordoba win LaLiga 2 in <1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 9 of 22 for title chances.

Q: Will Cordoba be relegated?

Cordoba are relegated in 3% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the LaLiga 2 season. They rank 13 of 22 for relegation risk.

Q: How are these probabilities calculated?

We start from the real table and play the 322 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.

Cordoba go up automatically (top 2 in LaLiga 2) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Updated: Wed 11 Nov

Title<1%

Automatic promotion (top 2)<1%

Promotion play-off13%

Relegation3%

Where they are and where they could finish

Current position: 11th
Points (13 matches): 19
Expected final points: 58
Most likely final position: 9th (10 %)
Range in 8 out of 10 simulations: 6th to 16th

Mallorca – Cordoba · Sat 14 Nov →

How their chances have changed

Last 60 days. Each point is a fresh calculation using real results.

TitleAutomatic promotion (top 2)Relegation

Where will Cordoba finish?

Share of simulations in which they end in each position.

1
2
13
24
45
66
87
98
109
1010
1011
812
813
714
615
516
317
318
219
20
21
22

Quote or embed this figure

You can use these numbers on your site, newspaper or social channels if you credit the source (CC BY 4.0).

Cordoba go up automatically (top 2 in LaLiga 2) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations. Source: PronosLab, Wed 11 Nov. https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/cordoba

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Frequently asked questions

Can Cordoba win LaLiga 2?

Cordoba win LaLiga 2 in <1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 9 of 22 for title chances.

Will Cordoba be promoted this season?

Cordoba go up automatically (top 2 in LaLiga 2) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Will Cordoba be relegated?

Cordoba are relegated in 3% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the LaLiga 2 season. They rank 13 of 22 for relegation risk.

How are these probabilities calculated?

We start from the real table and play the 322 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.

How it works

We start from the real table and play the remaining matches one by one, using our model's probabilities (Poisson and Elo).
We repeat the season 10,000 times and count how often each team finishes in each position. It updates twice a day.
Ties are broken by goal difference as an approximation; some leagues use head-to-head, so it may differ when teams are level on points.

Cordoba team page · All LaLiga 2 probabilities · Methodology

Probabilities estimated with our own model. They do not guarantee any result.