Simulation · Serie B

What are Carrarese's chances this season?

Q: Can Carrarese win Serie B?

Carrarese win Serie B in 0% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 16 of 20 for title chances.

Q: Will Carrarese be promoted this season?

Carrarese go up automatically (top 2 in Serie B) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Q: How are these probabilities calculated?

We start from the real table and play the 270 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.

Carrarese are relegated in 25% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Serie B season.

Updated: Wed 11 Nov

Title0%

Automatic promotion (top 2)<1%

Relegation25%

Where they are and where they could finish

Current position: 17th
Points (11 matches): 10
Expected final points: 44
Most likely final position: 17th (10 %)
Range in 8 out of 10 simulations: 9th to 19th

Carrarese – Virtus Entella · Sat 21 Nov →

How their chances have changed

Last 60 days. Each point is a fresh calculation using real results.

TitleAutomatic promotion (top 2)Relegation

Where will Carrarese finish?

Share of simulations in which they end in each position.

1
2
3
4
5
16
27
38
49
410
611
712
713
914
915
1016
1017
1018
919
620

Quote or embed this figure

You can use these numbers on your site, newspaper or social channels if you credit the source (CC BY 4.0).

Carrarese are relegated in 25% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Serie B season. Source: PronosLab, Wed 11 Nov. https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/carrarese

Chart for your website

<div class="pronoslab-widget" data-team="483" data-lang="en"><a href="https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/carrarese" rel="nofollow">Carrarese's chances this season</a> · <a href="https://pronoslab.com/en" rel="nofollow">PronosLab</a></div>
<script async src="https://pronoslab.com/embed.js"></script>

Frequently asked questions

Can Carrarese win Serie B?

Carrarese win Serie B in 0% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 16 of 20 for title chances.

Will Carrarese be promoted this season?

Carrarese go up automatically (top 2 in Serie B) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Will Carrarese be relegated?

Carrarese are relegated in 25% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Serie B season. They rank 5 of 20 for relegation risk.

How are these probabilities calculated?

We start from the real table and play the 270 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.

How it works

We start from the real table and play the remaining matches one by one, using our model's probabilities (Poisson and Elo).
We repeat the season 10,000 times and count how often each team finishes in each position. It updates twice a day.
Ties are broken by goal difference as an approximation; some leagues use head-to-head, so it may differ when teams are level on points.

Carrarese team page · All Serie B probabilities · Methodology

Probabilities estimated with our own model. They do not guarantee any result.