Simulation · Ligue 2

What are Annecy's chances this season?

Q: Can Annecy win Ligue 2?

Annecy win Ligue 2 in <1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 10 of 18 for title chances.

Q: Will Annecy be relegated?

Annecy are relegated in 5% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Ligue 2 season. They rank 8 of 18 for relegation risk.

Q: How are these probabilities calculated?

We start from the real table and play the 198 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.

Annecy go up automatically (top 2 in Ligue 2) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Updated: Wed 11 Nov

Title<1%

Automatic promotion (top 2)<1%

Relegation5%

Where they are and where they could finish

Current position: 9th
Points (12 matches): 16
Expected final points: 45
Most likely final position: 10th (10 %)
Range in 8 out of 10 simulations: 6th to 15th

Annecy – Clermont Foot · Fri 20 Nov →

How their chances have changed

Last 60 days. Each point is a fresh calculation using real results.

TitleAutomatic promotion (top 2)Relegation

Where will Annecy finish?

Share of simulations in which they end in each position.

1
2
13
34
45
76
97
108
109
1010
911
812
813
614
615
416
317
218

Quote or embed this figure

You can use these numbers on your site, newspaper or social channels if you credit the source (CC BY 4.0).

Annecy go up automatically (top 2 in Ligue 2) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations. Source: PronosLab, Wed 11 Nov. https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/annecy

Chart for your website

<div class="pronoslab-widget" data-team="504" data-lang="en"><a href="https://pronoslab.com/en/season-chances/annecy" rel="nofollow">Annecy's chances this season</a> · <a href="https://pronoslab.com/en" rel="nofollow">PronosLab</a></div>
<script async src="https://pronoslab.com/embed.js"></script>

Frequently asked questions

Can Annecy win Ligue 2?

Annecy win Ligue 2 in <1% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They rank 10 of 18 for title chances.

Will Annecy be promoted this season?

Annecy go up automatically (top 2 in Ligue 2) in <1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Will Annecy be relegated?

Annecy are relegated in 5% of our 10,000 simulations of the rest of the Ligue 2 season. They rank 8 of 18 for relegation risk.

How are these probabilities calculated?

We start from the real table and play the 198 remaining league matches 10,000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). They are estimates, not guarantees, and are recalculated twice a day.

How it works

We start from the real table and play the remaining matches one by one, using our model's probabilities (Poisson and Elo).
We repeat the season 10,000 times and count how often each team finishes in each position. It updates twice a day.
Ties are broken by goal difference as an approximation; some leagues use head-to-head, so it may differ when teams are level on points.

Annecy team page · All Ligue 2 probabilities · Methodology

Probabilities estimated with our own model. They do not guarantee any result.