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Questions · updated Wed 11 Nov

Who will be relegated from Swiss Super League?

The teams most at risk of finishing in the bottom 1 of Swiss Super League are Lausanne (56%), Grasshoppers (24%), FC Vaduz (7%), according to 10.000 simulations of the rest of the season.

  1. 1 Lausanne crest Lausanne 56% 7 pts now
  2. 2 Grasshoppers crest Grasshoppers 24% 11 pts now
  3. 3 FC Vaduz crest FC Vaduz 7% 10 pts now
  4. 4 FC Thun crest FC Thun 6% 14 pts now
  5. 5 FC Luzern crest FC Luzern 5% 13 pts now
  6. 6 FC Basel 1893 crest FC Basel 1893 2% 15 pts now

How we work it out: we start from the real table and play the 54 remaining matches 10.000 times with our statistical model (Poisson and Elo). Tie-breakers are approximate. Data from Wed 11 Nov.

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