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LaLiga 2 likely goalscorers: gameweek 14

Each player's chance of scoring from our statistical model, their goals and their minutes. Built for Biwenger.

Predicted lineups → · Fantasy football tips →

Most likely to score

  1. 1Enric GallegoTenerife at home to AD Ceuta FC · 8 goals56%
  2. 2FuentesMallorca at home to Cordoba · 7 goals49%
  3. 3Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria at home to FC Andorra · 8 goals48%
  4. 4A. MarinCelta de Vigo II away at Albacete · 8 goals36%
  5. 5José ArnáizGranada CF at home to Las Palmas · 2 goals31%
  6. 6Pablo TorreMallorca at home to Cordoba · 3 goals28%
  7. 7Ousmane CamaraCastellón away at Valladolid · 4 goals26%
  8. 8Curro SánchezBurgos away at Leganes · 4 goals26%
  9. 9Jon GuruzetaEibar at home to Cadiz · 3 goals25%
  10. 10David GonzálezBurgos away at Leganes · 3 goals25%
  11. 11Israel SueroCastellón away at Valladolid · 6 goals23%
  12. 12Antonio CorderoCadiz away at Eibar · 5 goals23%
  13. 13Malcom AduEibar at home to Cadiz · 2 goals23%
  14. 14José CorpasAlbacete at home to Celta de Vigo II · 0 goals23%
  15. 15A. JakobsenCastellón away at Valladolid · 3 goals23%

Clean sheet chance

  1. 1Eldenseat home to Sabadell39%
  2. 2Tenerifeat home to AD Ceuta FC39%
  3. 3Gironaaway at Oviedo37%
  4. 4Oviedoat home to Girona36%
  5. 5Almeriaat home to FC Andorra35%
  6. 6Castellónaway at Valladolid34%
  7. 7Mallorcaat home to Cordoba34%
  8. 8Sabadellaway at Eldense32%
  9. 9Burgosaway at Leganes31%
  10. 10Sporting Gijonaway at Real Sociedad II30%

Match by match

Fri 13 Nov · 20:30

Leganes – Burgos

Model expected goals: 1.18 – 1.62
Leganes
  1. FWDNaim García20%
  2. FWDÁlvaro Morata17%
  3. MIDIsmaël Gharbi13%
  4. FWDP. Soko13%
Burgos
  1. FWDCurro Sánchez26%
  2. FWDDavid González25%
  3. FWDÁlex Forés21%
  4. FWDJavi Llabrés18%
Sat 14 Nov · 14:00

Valladolid – Castellón

Model expected goals: 1.07 – 1.76
Valladolid
  1. FWDAdrian Arnuncio17%
  2. MIDJ. Ponceau12%
  3. FWDJuanmi Latasa11%
  4. FWDVíctor Fernández9%
Castellón
  1. FWDOusmane Camara26%
  2. MIDIsrael Suero23%
  3. FWDA. Jakobsen23%
  4. FWDÁlvaro Martín15%
Sat 14 Nov · 16:15

Real Sociedad II – Sporting Gijon

Model expected goals: 1.19 – 1.46
Real Sociedad II
  1. FWDLander Astiazarán20%
  2. FWDGorka Carrera15%
  3. MIDGorka Gorosabel13%
  4. MIDDani Díaz9%
Sporting Gijon
  1. FWDJ. Otero20%
  2. DEFGuille Rosas18%
  3. FWDA. Sarco16%
  4. FWDN. Iosifov15%
Sat 14 Nov · 18:30

Almeria – FC Andorra

Model expected goals: 2.08 – 1.06
Almeria
  1. FWDMiguel de la Fuente48%
  2. MIDB. Cipenga18%
  3. MIDJavi Muñoz17%
  4. MIDSergio Arribas14%
FC Andorra
  1. MIDJordi Cano16%
  2. FWDMoró Sidibe13%
  3. FWDL. de León12%
  4. FWDHugo López12%
Sat 14 Nov · 18:30

Mallorca – Cordoba

Model expected goals: 1.90 – 1.08
Mallorca
  1. FWDFuentes49%
  2. FWDPablo Torre28%
  3. MIDÁlex Sala17%
  4. DEFRaíllo9%
Cordoba
  1. FWDPercan22%
  2. FWDCristian Carracedo14%
  3. FWDDiego Bri14%
  4. MIDEder García13%
Sat 14 Nov · 21:00

Oviedo – Girona

Model expected goals: 1.00 – 1.02
Oviedo
  1. DEFCarlos Domínguez16%
  2. FWDPablo Sáenz13%
  3. FWDJacobo González8%
  4. MIDMikel Goti8%
Girona
  1. FWDV. Vanat21%
  2. FWDAbel Ruiz12%
  3. MIDCarles Pérez10%
  4. MIDY. Asprilla10%
Sun 15 Nov · 14:00

Tenerife – AD Ceuta FC

Model expected goals: 1.91 – 0.95
Tenerife
  1. FWDEnric Gallego56%
  2. MIDNacho Gil13%
  3. MIDC. Gomis13%
  4. FWDIván Chapela10%
AD Ceuta FC
  1. FWDJordi Escobar15%
  2. DEFCarlos Hernández14%
  3. FWDKuki13%
  4. FWDCedric Teguia8%
Sun 15 Nov · 16:15

Granada CF – Las Palmas

Model expected goals: 1.93 – 1.21
Granada CF
  1. FWDJosé Arnáiz31%
  2. FWDJorge Pascual22%
  3. MIDGumbau15%
  4. MIDRubén Alcaraz14%
Las Palmas
  1. FWDJesé22%
  2. FWDManu Fuster16%
  3. MIDT. Miyashiro15%
  4. FWDJefté Betancor11%
Sun 15 Nov · 18:30

Eibar – Cadiz

Model expected goals: 1.79 – 1.20
Eibar
  1. FWDJon Guruzeta25%
  2. FWDMalcom Adu23%
  3. FWDJon Bautista17%
  4. MIDAnder Madariaga16%
Cadiz
  1. MIDAntonio Cordero23%
  2. FWDUrko Izeta14%
  3. FWDV. Kopotun12%
  4. MIDIbon Sánchez12%
Sun 15 Nov · 18:30

Eldense – Sabadell

Model expected goals: 1.13 – 0.93
Eldense
  1. FWDJorge Rastrojo13%
  2. MIDFidel12%
  3. FWDM. Carmona11%
  4. FWDD. Ruiz10%
Sabadell
  1. FWDN. Gioacchini11%
  2. MIDÁngel Baena11%
  3. DEFÓscar Sanz9%
  4. MIDUrri9%
Mon 16 Nov · 20:30

Albacete – Celta de Vigo II

Model expected goals: 1.63 – 1.42
Albacete
  1. FWDJosé Corpas23%
  2. FWDAlex Rubio18%
  3. FWDMario Soberón14%
  4. MIDSan Bartolomé14%
Celta de Vigo II
  1. FWDA. Marin36%
  2. FWDO. Marcos22%
  3. MIDA. Kibet10%
  4. MIDAdrià Capdevila9%

Probabilities from our statistical model (each team's expected goals), split by each player's scoring rate and expected minutes; once the official XI is out, only starters and substitutes count. Confirmed absentees are excluded and doubts count half. These are estimates, not guarantees.

Frequently asked questions

Who is most likely to score in LaLiga 2 gameweek 14?

Enric Gallego (Tenerife, against AD Ceuta FC) at 56% according to our model.

Which team is most likely to keep a clean sheet?

Eldense against Sabadell: a 39% chance of not conceding.

How is the chance of scoring calculated?

We start from each team's expected goals in the model, split them by each player's goals per 90 minutes (smoothed by position) and their expected minutes. The chance of scoring at least once is 1 − e^(−the player's expected goals).