PronosLab has published its analysis of Leganes v Burgos (LaLiga 2, Friday 13 November): 1X2, goals and both-teams-to-score probabilities, absences and the analyst’s reading.
Leganes vs Burgos prediction
LaLiga 2 · MD14
Fri 13 Nov
Prediction
571489cd4b Analysis produced with our own statistical model and artificial intelligence from official match data. Every figure is checked automatically against our database before publication, and the prediction is sealed before kick-off. How we work
✓ Read and approved by Diego Santa before publication (Wed 11 Nov). Who reviews it
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Leganes
BurgosYou vs the AI
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1 = home win · X = draw · 2 = away win. Points: 3 for the exact score, 2 for the goal difference and 1 for the right winner or draw.
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Precision is scored from 0 to 100: the more probability you gave to what happened and the less to what didn’t, the higher. An even split scores about 67; calling it at 100% scores 100, but missing that way scores 0. Separate ranking, from 5 matches.
Analyst's view
Verified dataLeganes and Burgos meet on LaLiga 2 matchday 14 in very different shape: Leganes have lost 7 of their last 10 matches and play on just 3 days' rest, while Burgos are third on 24 points. Burgos have won 3 of their 4 away matches, though they have conceded 7 goals in them.
What moved the probability
Who will score?
EstimateChance of scoring at least once: their team's expected goals in this match × their season scoring rate (smoothed) × the minutes they're expected to play. Confirmed absentees left out. An estimate, not a guarantee.
More match probabilities
Model · no AIGoals and scorelines come from the expected goals behind our 1X2; corners and cards from each team's recent matches with stats (and the referee). These are estimates, not guarantees.
Playing style
Last 5 matchesLeganesBurgos
| LEG | BUR | |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | 51% | 49% |
| Shots | 13.4 | 15.6 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 5.8 |
| Shots inside the box | 8.8 | 10.8 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
Average of each team's last 10 official matches before this one (official match statistics). The further out, the higher on that metric.
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What's at stake
2/5- One of them is fighting relegation
- Top-tier league
Match importance computed from the table, the season simulation, the round and the rivalry.
Rest and travel
Burgos come in with 3 more days of rest.
- Rest
- 3 days
- Games in 14 days
- 3
- Travel in 14 days
- 348 km
- Next game
- 7 days LaLiga Hypermotion
- Rest
- 6.3 days
- Games in 14 days
- 2
- Travel in 14 days
- 224 km
- Next game
- 9 days LaLiga Hypermotion
Index from 0 to 100 built from rest days, games in every competition we follow, kilometres between stadiums and whether they play again within 4 days.
Recent form
Head to head
Last 5- 31 Jan 2026 Burgos2–1Leganes
- 1 Nov 2025 Leganes1–2Burgos
- 22 Jan 2024 Leganes2–0Burgos
- 4 Oct 2023 Burgos1–0Leganes
- 12 May 2023 Burgos0–3Leganes
Team news
No significant absences confirmed.
Key facts
When and where is Leganes vs Burgos?
It kicks off on Friday 13 November at 19:30 (UK time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, LaLiga 2 matchday 14.
What is the team news?
Leganes: no confirmed absences. Burgos: no confirmed absences.
How do Leganes and Burgos come into the match?
Leganes are 18th on 12 points and Burgos 3rd on 24.
How did the last meeting end?
The last meeting, on 31/01/2026, finished Burgos 2-1 Leganes.
Who do PronosLab make favourites?
The answer is in the full prediction on this page, with win, draw, goals and both-teams-to-score probabilities.
Other LaLiga 2 fixtures
- Valladolid – CastellónSat 14 Nov
- Real Sociedad II – Sporting GijonSat 14 Nov
- Almeria – FC AndorraSat 14 Nov
- Mallorca – CordobaSat 14 Nov
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